Randomized
Discontinuation Design: Application to Cytostatic Antineoplastic Agents
Gary L. Rosner, Walter Stadler, Mark J. Ratain
From the Cancer and Leukemia Group B Statistical
Office and Department of Biostatistics, The University of Texas M.D. Anderson
Cancer Center, Houston, TX; and Section of Hematology/Oncology, Department of
Medicine, Committees on Cancer Biology, and Clinical Pharmacology, and Cancer
Research Center, The University of Chicago, Chicago, IL. Address reprint requests to Gary L. Rosner, ScD,
Department of Biostatistics, The University of Texas M.D. Anderson Cancer
Center, 1515 Holcombe Blvd, Box 447, Houston, TX 77030-4009; email: glr@odin.mdacc.tmc.edu.
Purpose. Propose a phase II study design to evaluate the activity of
a putative cytostatic agent, acknowledging heterogeneity of tumor
growth rates in the population of patients.
Methods. In the setting of renal cell carcinoma, some patients’ tumors
will grow slowly naturally.
An appropriate design has to distinguish
antiproliferative activity attributable to the novel agent from
indolent disease.
We propose a randomized discontinuation design that
initially treats all patients with the study agent (stage 1) and then
randomizes in a double-blind fashion to continuing therapy or placebo
only those patients whose disease is stable (stage 2).
This design
allows the investigators to determine if apparent slow tumor growth
is attributable to the drug or to selection of patients with
naturally slow-growing tumors.
Results. By selecting a more homogeneous population, the randomized portion
of the study requires fewer patients than would a study randomizing
all patients at entry.
The design also avoids potential confounding
because of heterogeneous tumor growth.
Because the two randomly
assigned treatment groups each comprise patients with apparently slow
growing tumors, any difference between the groups in disease
progression after randomization is more likely a result of the study
drug and less likely a result of imbalance with respect to tumor
growth rates.
Stopping rules during the initial open-label stage and
the subsequent randomized trial stage allow one to reduce the overall
sample size.
Expected average tumor growth rate is an important
consideration when deciding the duration of follow-up for the two
stages.
Conclusion. The randomized discontinuation design is a feasible alternative
phase II study design for determining activity of possibly cytostatic
anticancer agents.
©
2002 American Society of Clinical Oncology.
Source: http://www.jco.org/cgi/content/abstract/20/22/4478?etoc
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